49.11 Perioperative Outcomes and Predictors of Mortality Following Surgery for Sigmoid Volvulus.

A. Easterday1, A. Person1, S. Aurit1, R. Driessen1, D. Mukkai Krishnamurty1  1Creighton University Medical Center,Department Of Surgery,Omaha, NE, USA

Introduction: Data on perioperative outcomes following surgery for sigmoid volvulus is limited. The aim of this study is to develop a model to predict need for emergent surgery and post-operative mortality following resection for sigmoid volvulus.

Methods: The NSQIP database was queried from 2012-2016 to identify patients undergoing segmental resection for sigmoid volvulus. Pre-, intra-, and post-operative variables were compared. Primary and secondary outcomes were emergent surgery and risk of mortality, respectively. Chi-square and Fischer’s test for categorical variables and the Mann-Whitney test for continuous variables were used. Significant variables for each outcome were entered into a logistic regression model to predict the outcomes. Statistical significance was set at p<0.05. 

Results: A total of 2,086 patients met inclusion criteria and 51.6 percent underwent an elective resection. Median age was 68 years. Laparoscopic resection (30.5% vs. 9.1%; p<0.001) and mechanical bowel preparation (50% vs. 8.7%; p<0.001) were more commonly used in the elective setting. Patients having emergent resection were more likely to suffer from post-operative superficial surgical site infection (p<0.001), pneumonia (p<0.001), cardiac arrest (p=0.038), septic shock (p=0.001), myocardial infarction (p=0.034), and had a higher need for perioperative transfusion (p<0.001). No difference was seen in ileus, anastomotic leaks, readmission or re-operation rates in patients undergoing emergency vs. elective resection. Overall mortality rate was 6.2% (8.5% in the emergent group vs. 4.1% in the elective group; p<0.001). On multivariate analysis, factors associated with increased risk of emergency surgery included female gender (OR 2.01; p<0.001), relative hematocrit elevation (OR=1.058; p<0.001), relative leukocytosis (OR=1.172; p<0.001), acute kidney injury (OR=6.274; p=0.035), pre-operative sepsis (OR=2.037; p<0.001), functional independence prior to surgery (OR=1.525; p=0.011), and bleeding disorders (OR=1.592; p=0.020). Factors predictive of post-operative mortality included increased age (OR=1.064; p<0.001), systemic sepsis (OR=3.848; p<0.001), and emergent surgery (OR=2.086; p=0.007). Independence prior to illness (OR=0.371; p<0.001), higher albumin levels (OR=0.579; p=0.007), and lower BMI (OR=0.952; p=0.037) were shown to be protective. 

Conclusion: Emergent resection for sigmoid volvulus is independently associated with poor post-operative outcomes and mortality. Pre-operative factors that predict need for emergent resection and post-operative mortality identified in this study can be used to aid in shared decision making and counselling for patients admitted with sigmoid volvulus.